2022 Draft

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Law's mock. Curious to hear @Pickles and @arjohn2.0 's take.

11. New York Mets: Daniel Susac, C, Arizona
I know someone will say “But the Mets have Francisco Alvarez!” but the truth is teams don’t, and shouldn’t, draft for need – you take the best player available, and Susac might even go ahead of this spot anyway. They could be the floor for Jung or go for Gavin Cross.

Scouting report: “After a slow start, Susac hit well for the Wildcats. He crushes fastballs but struggles (relatively speaking) on breaking stuff and hasn’t shown as much power in games as you’ll see in batting practice. He’s adequate behind the plate with an above-average arm, more likely to stay back there than Parada, with less hit tool.”

14. New York Mets: Connor Prielipp, LHP, Alabama
Prielipp will throw for scouts on Monday, May 23 – I plan to be there as well – which will mark his first appearance in any form since Tommy John surgery in April of 2021. Whether this is a realistic guess will be a lot clearer after that, but if he looks healthy at all I think he’ll get a deal in the first round, as we saw with Jeff Hoffman, Gunnar Hoglund, and Clarke Schmidt in recent years.

Scouting report: “Prielipp, the top pitcher on my board, won’t throw a single pitch in 2022, but he could very easily have been the first-overall pick if he’d stayed healthy … Prior to the May 2021 operation, he would sit 92-94 mph with a plus slider in the upper 80s, with a funky delivery that gave him some added deception. His changeup was below-average, but he barely threw it, using the slider instead even against right-handed batters. He pitched just seven times in college due to the injury and the pandemic, so there’s a lot of unknowns here.”
 

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A guy that hasn’t thrown in a year and sits at 92-94 with a below average change is the top pitcher on his board?
Baseball America actually shares the same opinion as Law, although they don't have him in the 1st round in their latest mock because of the injury issues

His slider is supposed to be filthy
 

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11. New York Mets
Jett Williams, SS, Rockwall Heath HS (Texas), Mississippi State commit
I've been hearing for over a month that the Mets are looking to get a high school position player on a cut deal here, with Williams and Justin Crawford the two main options. The idea would be to bank some savings to set up an over-slot play, possibly at the 14th pick, but possibly later depending on who they can get to Pick 14.
It makes sense to get an under-slot deal done before the player is picked here because while this pick is protected (i.e. they get a comp pick if the player doesn't sign), if they don't sign the player this year, next year's comp pick isn't protected and thus comes with significantly less leverage.


14. New York Mets
Daniel Susac, C, Arizona
There's a lot of Dylan Lesko buzz here, and that makes sense as a big upside swing who maybe the Mets might be able to offer an above-slot deal with some savings from the 11th pick. The Mets might also opt to just go best available for roughly slot and roll over those savings to the next pick. GM Billy Eppler was big on Vanderbilt RF Spencer Jones when he was running the Angels front office and Jones was a SoCal high school product in 2019. He eventually drafted him in the 31st round, but Jones didn't sign and he could be an under-slot target here or an over-slot option in the second round.
They should take Lesko at 14. That’s my totally uninformed draft take for this year.
 

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Baseball America's latest mock:

11.
Gavin Cross
Virginia TechOF
Notes:
Total Bonus Pool: $13,955,700
Pick Slot Value: $4,778,200

We’ve talked about financial maneuvering throughout this mock draft and that should certainly come into play with the Mets, who have picks 11 and 14 after failing to sign Kumar Rocker a year ago.

New York’s $13,955,700 bonus pool tops any club outside of Baltimore and Arizona, so how it decides to use that will be fascinating. The Mets would be an obvious landing spot for a top talent that starts to unexpectedly slide for whatever reason on draft day (see Watson, Kahlil in 2021 or Liberatore, Matthew in 2018) and they could get aggressive with an over-slot deal by floating a deal if one of the top six players starts falling out of the top-five picks.

This is all pure speculation and more about explaining how the draft dynamics could play out. With the way our board has gone, Gavin Cross feels like the top player available, so we’ll give the Mets that pick here.
LESS

14.
Brock Porter
St. Mary Prep, Orchard Lake, Mich.RHP
Notes:
Total Bonus Pool: $13,955,700
Pick Slot Value: $4,241,600

This mock would have the Mets getting the best healthy pitcher in the draft class and one of the biggest upside arms available, period. That’s the sort of draft we’re talking about in 2022 when that happens at pick No. 14.

Perhaps pairing a higher risk demographic and profile like Porter with a college hitter like Cross would be a bit more palatable for the Mets. Porter does have a chance to come off the board sooner than this, but at the moment most insiders believe he’ll be the first pitcher selected.
 

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Law Mock


11. New York Mets: Jace Jung, 2B, Texas Tech
The Mets have two picks in the first round, Nos. 11 and 14, so they are linked to a huge group of players, and other teams think they’ll get creative and move some of that huge bonus pool around – one rumor has them willing to offer Elijah Green well over slot if he gets here. Jung didn’t look great as Tech’s season finished, so he might be sliding into the teens.

Scouting report: Jung has one of the weirdest setups you will ever see in a hitter above Little League, holding the bat so far behind his back shoulder that you’d think it was covered in a toxic fungus. Or perhaps cooties. Yet he hits — he hit well enough as a sophomore in 2021, with a .337/.462/.697 line and more walks than strikeouts, that he probably would have gone in the top half of the first round last year had he been eligible. The younger brother of Rangers prospect Josh Jung, Jace gets the bat head into the zone in plenty of time to make consistent, high-quality contact, including power, with 21 homers as a sophomore and 14 this season. His position is still the main question; he’s mostly played second base in college, not that well, but doesn’t have the arm for the left side of the infield or the speed to play anywhere else but left field or first base. There’s enough reason to buy his bat that he’s going to go in the top-10 picks even with such a huge unknown in his profile.


14. New York Mets: Jett Williams, SS, Rockwall-Heath (Texas) High
The Mets have been linked to Williams for several weeks now, as well as prep lefty Robbie Snelling, while they’ve also heavily scouted a number of players who should be “tweeners” (players who’ll go between their picks) but could be under-slot candidates here, too.

Scouting report: Williams is the other 5-8 high school shortstop in this draft class, behind Termarr Johnson because of the latter’s elite hit tool … but how far behind, really? He’s a right-handed hitter with a clean, efficient swing, and his hand-eye coordination rivals Johnson’s; Williams almost never swung and missed last summer on the showcase circuit and didn’t show any trouble with velocity when he faced it. He’s an above-average to plus runner, quick enough for shortstop but lacking the arm strength or footwork for the position in the long term, so it’s more likely he’ll move to second base or possibly centerfield. There’s always some trepidation around undersized high school hitters, but I remember a similarly sized right-handed high school shortstop who rarely struck out and hit everything hard — Alex Bregman.
 

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Happier than the Pillsbury Doughboy on his way to
Law Mock


11. New York Mets: Jace Jung, 2B, Texas Tech
The Mets have two picks in the first round, Nos. 11 and 14, so they are linked to a huge group of players, and other teams think they’ll get creative and move some of that huge bonus pool around – one rumor has them willing to offer Elijah Green well over slot if he gets here. Jung didn’t look great as Tech’s season finished, so he might be sliding into the teens.

Scouting report: Jung has one of the weirdest setups you will ever see in a hitter above Little League, holding the bat so far behind his back shoulder that you’d think it was covered in a toxic fungus. Or perhaps cooties. Yet he hits — he hit well enough as a sophomore in 2021, with a .337/.462/.697 line and more walks than strikeouts, that he probably would have gone in the top half of the first round last year had he been eligible. The younger brother of Rangers prospect Josh Jung, Jace gets the bat head into the zone in plenty of time to make consistent, high-quality contact, including power, with 21 homers as a sophomore and 14 this season. His position is still the main question; he’s mostly played second base in college, not that well, but doesn’t have the arm for the left side of the infield or the speed to play anywhere else but left field or first base. There’s enough reason to buy his bat that he’s going to go in the top-10 picks even with such a huge unknown in his profile.


14. New York Mets: Jett Williams, SS, Rockwall-Heath (Texas) High
The Mets have been linked to Williams for several weeks now, as well as prep lefty Robbie Snelling, while they’ve also heavily scouted a number of players who should be “tweeners” (players who’ll go between their picks) but could be under-slot candidates here, too.

Scouting report: Williams is the other 5-8 high school shortstop in this draft class, behind Termarr Johnson because of the latter’s elite hit tool … but how far behind, really? He’s a right-handed hitter with a clean, efficient swing, and his hand-eye coordination rivals Johnson’s; Williams almost never swung and missed last summer on the showcase circuit and didn’t show any trouble with velocity when he faced it. He’s an above-average to plus runner, quick enough for shortstop but lacking the arm strength or footwork for the position in the long term, so it’s more likely he’ll move to second base or possibly centerfield. There’s always some trepidation around undersized high school hitters, but I remember a similarly sized right-handed high school shortstop who rarely struck out and hit everything hard — Alex Bregman.
Meh. I know the draft is BPA, but I want two arms if possible. There has to be two SPs that are good enough for top 15 in this draft.
 

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Meh. I know the draft is BPA, but I want two arms if possible. There has to be two SPs that are good enough for top 15 in this draft.
The draft is very position player heavy at the top - no one has any pitcher in their top 10

The other mocks have had the Mets connected to a pitcher though
 

Likwit

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That Jace write up is buns. Who the fuck wants a 2B that can hit, can’t play 2B very well and can’t move to the left side of the infield? I’m not taking a fringe first baseman unless he’s got ridiculous power, which this tool named “Jace” doesn’t have
 
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